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Thai Banks to Reduce Deposit Guarantee to Bt 1 millionJimboPSM wrote:In the short term this measure will probably not concern too many folk, however some may need to start thinking about the additional risk factor as the guarantee will be reduced to Bt 1 million per customer.
Unless the banking regulatory rules are changed it will also almost certainly result in a further credit crunch in Thailand as maintaining capital ratios in the banks will put credit under further pressure.
From The Nation:New deposit rule likely to shift money to other instruments, says Kasikorn Bank unit
By Ekarin Bumroongpuk
The Nation
Published on July 25, 2008
More than Bt350 billion in deposits are expected to shift from bank accounts to other types of savings instruments over the next five years as the Deposit Protection Agency is established and starts operating next month.
According to the agency's rules, bank deposits would not be 100-per-cent guaranteed by the government anymore.
The level of guarantees will be gradually reduced over five years.
Due to the revision, depositors are expected to move their money out of banks to other channels of investment.
According to a survey on depositors conducted by Kasikorn Research Centre, about Bt355.19 billion in deposits are expected to leave bank accounts over the next five years, or Bt71.04 billion a year.
Some of the money is likely to move to property investments - by Bt93.29 billion in five years or about Bt18.67 billion a year after establishment of the Deposit Protection Agency, the research body said.
On August 11, the Deposit Protection Act will be implemented.
So far, deposits of commercial banks are 100-per-cent protected by the government in case a bank's business license is cancelled or if it goes bankrupt.
But after the new act takes effect, the protection on deposits will be gradually decreased from 100 per cent in the first year to only Bt100 million per person per bank in the second year, Bt50 million in the third year, and Bt10 million in the fourth year.
From the fifth year onwards, or after August 11, 2012, the deposit guarantee will be reduced to only Bt1 million per person per bank.
Therefore, depositors who have more than Bt1 million in a bank, will be affected and may have to think about diversifying their investments.
There are about 900,000 accounts that contain Bt1 million or more, representing 1.2 per cent of depositors. But this percentage of savers hold 73 per cent of the total amount of money saved, which is about Bt5.1 trillion.
Pisarn Manoleehagul, chairman of Kasikorn Research Center, said the survey tried to gauge the action depositors would take when they were shown the Deposit Protection Act.
The survey was conducted last March. It focused mainly on depositors who have between Bt1 million and Bt100 million in bank deposits.
"About 61 per cent of respondents are still unaware of the Deposit Protection Act, while 39 per cent said they were aware of it," said Pisarn
Pisarn said the investment proportion of deposit in a bank will fall from 27 per cent of total investment now to 9 per cent of total investment in five years after the act's implementation.
When asked about what alternative investments they would make, 26.3 per cent of respondents said they would invest in property.
If the decision was followed through, it could mean an average of Bt18.67 billion a year could be spent on real estate. Over five years that shift may amount to Bt93.29 billion.
The second most favoured product backed by 17.7 per cent of respondents was government bonds.
About Bt12.59 billion a year over the next five years are expected to go into these bonds.
Gold came in third, favoured by 12 per cent of respondents. About Bt42.71 billion over five years is expected to buy the precious metal.
The fourth vehicle is mutual funds. About 9.2 per cent of respondents said they would favour them. Some Bt32.60 billion could be parked in such funds in the next.
The fifth instrument is stocks. About 5.7 per cent of respondents said they would shift some of their cash into equity. About Bt20.23 billion from savers could pour into the bourse during this period.
Some 3.2 per cent of respondents said they would buy debentures. That could mean Bt11.24 billion would flow into such paper.
About 2.8 per cent of respondents said they would buy assurance, meaning Bt10.12 billion could be headed for this sector.
The rest, some 23 per cent (Bt82 billion), may go to other forms of investments.
Deposits will be protected, says finance minister
BobHelm wrote:It would appear that your request for information as been heard at the highest levels, Ray...
Deposits will be protected, says finance minister
http://www.nationmultimedia.com/busines ... 73725.html
Although the reading of the piece didn't quite make the security feeling that the headline does...
JimboPSM wrote:I think you may have been speed reading the article Bob (although I may also be misinterpreting it)![]()
JimboPSM wrote:.... I believe the article is actually about the Finance Ministry having been caught trying to do a “Maxwell” on the existing deposit guarantee fund to use it to help pay off some of the Bt 1.14-trillion debt of the Financial Institutions Development Fund (FIDF) left over since the 1997 financial crisis.
Now we know why the Yingluck government has brought in Dr Virabongsa Ramangkura.
The former finance minister is heading a committee to rehabilitate Thai industry and infrastructure in the aftermath of the worst floods in 50 years. To reconstruct the economy, the government needs money. But, due to all the populist spending pledges, it is broke. Virabongsa's task is to help the government find the money - at least Bt350 billion for the time being.
The easy target is the Bank of Thailand, to which the government could pass on the burden of an old debt so that it can create a new debt for fresh spending.
The government needs a personality of Virabongsa's stature to battle against the central bank, whose governor, Dr Prasarn Trairatvorakul, is drawing up a strong defensive line. The battle now looks ugly, centring on the debt of the Financial Institution Development Fund (FIDF), an arm of the central bank.
The ghost of the FIDF will not be laid to rest easily. Every time a new government steps in, it wants to find a way not to service the debt of the FIDF, which used taxpayers' money to bail out the financial institutions in the 1997 Asian financial crisis to the tune of Bt1.4 trillion. The FIDF debt now stands at about Bt1.1 trillion.
The Yingluck government does not want to service the annual interest payment of Bt45 billion for the FIDF. It wants the central bank to assume all the Bt1.1 trillion of FIDF debt so that it has room to create new debt.
Thailand's public debt has exceeded Bt4 trillion, equivalent to 40 per cent of the gross domestic product. If the FIDF debt of Bt1.1 trillion is deducted from the overall public debt, the governmentwould be in a position to create new debt for massive spending.....
The BOT's foreign exchange reserves are not totally secure. Foreign investors could withdraw their money out of the country any time in the event of financial shocks. If they were to flee the country (by converting the baht for the dollar before taking the money out) like they did in 1997, Thailand could lose its reserves in a hurry.....
If the BOT were to totally monetise the Bt1.1 trillion FIDF debt, it would increase its negative net worth to Bt1.5 trillion. In this case, confidence in the baht would wobble. That is the road Zimbabwe has taken.....
Full article: http://www.nationmultimedia.com/opinion ... 72896.html
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