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Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 17, 2010, 10:32 am

We may just see the sideways trend now, that everyone was talking about. Getting to be some real good buys out there now. But I think they will get better in the coming days.

So I pulled out 40K profit today on one headed for the basement, I did that based on what I saw yesterday and a charts that said it will fall further today. Unless something great comes along I will be on the sidelines for awhile.

I'm now in a pretty good position so no reason to push my luck . I will just let them work now.
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 17, 2010, 6:18 pm

Well I lost 3300 today not complaining still got a 50K profit.

Just read an article on bloomberg US futures and stocks up

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-1 ... ances.html

If that the case we may get a little shot in the arm tomorrow.

The downside we won't know that until tomorrow, Also read today that Thailand has been approved to apply for a one billion IMF and Asia fund loan. The purpose of which is supposed to be stimulus.

In my contacts I have been told that this time of year is normally a slow time for growth in stocks in Thailand.

In checking the charts today everything pretty much looks iffy. However the SET finished off at 865 today

Always fun on the farm **
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby JimboPSM » August 18, 2010, 5:18 am

An article on CNBC Business News which gives a bit of a regional perspective and a warning of a probable slowdown:
Asian Economies Hot Again — And So Are Stock Markets

Published: Tuesday, 17 Aug 2010, 5:08 PM ET
By: Albert Bozzo


As the US and European Union economies struggle through the hangover of a deep financial crisis, countries in Asia that suffered their own crisis a dozen years ago are posting some of the fastest growth rates in the world.

South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and others in Southeast and East Asia are benefiting from an export-driven regional boom, which, to varying degrees, is also lifting their stock markets.

“They've learned a lesson from the crisis,” says Simona Mocuta, who follows Asia-Pacific economies for IHS Global Insight, referring to the regional economic meltdown of 1996-1997. “The fundamentals were solid when the exports came back," following the global recession of 2008-2009..........

“Most of these government are more proactive than western countries,” says Mansoor Dailami, manager of international finance at the World Bank. “It’s fiscal prudence.” .......

“The region has become more dependent on what happens in China than the U.S.," says Alec Young of Standard & Poor’s.

For that reason alone, experts are predicting a slight slowdown in second-half growth, as China puts the brakes on its own economy..........

For full article: http://www.cnbc.com/id/38737434
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 18, 2010, 8:58 am

Thanks Jimbo, the old hands I have had contact with have said as a norm stocks slow down in the second half here and pick up again in December. Of course things are hardly norm these days, I've slowly moved out of laggards and stayed with the ones still profit in the recent drop. Surprisingly about 60% of my portfolio stayed green through this.

In times like this do you find the strength in your portfolio?

Good to see you here.
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 18, 2010, 1:35 pm

Interesting the SET in on intermission. The only thing I can figures is went up to fast it's at 877.

I've only seen it once before when it dropped fast
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 18, 2010, 5:19 pm

SET finished out at 880

Through this past week I managed to spot the laggards and which ones will hold up with time. Trimmed my portfolio to seven stocks took 50 K profit.

A real change in one day
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 19, 2010, 11:49 am

Darn couldn't resist went to 890, so I'm back in again accumulated on the ones that have done well when it was down and when I was up. Really only have one wild card at the moment. If it breaks I will certainly be in the money. I fit doesn't ten percent rule is in effect It's down 1.78% at the moment everything else I hold in in the green.

I have a questions does anyone having any experience going short on new IPO"S ?

If so what were the result, not paying that much attention but they seem to go up rapidly and they fall rapidly. Probably close to being a day trade.
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 19, 2010, 4:25 pm

This sounds crazy to me but I tried something today. I held 36,000 shares of a company my average buy was 185. I sold 20K shares at MKT price, the price dropped and bought them back at MKT price now my average cost is 182.

So I'm now trying it with the balance of my shares 16,400 At MKT price, then I bid them at 180.

I don't why that worked, but I will pay less in commissions then what I gained.

Ok yell at me l know it was dumb but, you got try in order to learn.

Not one I will be doing a lot of. With 36K in shares those little numbers add up quickly.
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 20, 2010, 10:17 am

Well the warrants kicked in today and my profits tripled over all. But it's really volatile so I will wait a bit for the dust to settle, before I decide what to do.
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 20, 2010, 11:22 am

Sold the W-4's at 1.16 (5452 baht), the t stock itself is also going down bought a 1,000 shares at 5.10. There will be an additional dividend at .10 makes for a good buy.

Now I wait on the w'3's came on lower then expected thus far. the w-4's were actually higher then expected.

Right now everything looks like its on a yoyo string
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 20, 2010, 5:09 pm

This is the best week I have had,ended up 12.43 x my normal profit The warrants took me to 74,351 profit and everything else was in the green as well.

Must be why you guys learned this oh well late in life better then never. \:D/
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby nkstan » August 20, 2010, 5:31 pm

=D> =D> I love success stories!Especially when it happens to nice guys! =D> =D>
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 20, 2010, 6:02 pm

Thanks
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 25, 2010, 5:22 pm

This had to have been the craziest day I have seen thus far, Set stayed in the 895 range most of the day about 1500 hours it dropped to 884.

Nothing happened here that I seen thus far to cause the move like that.

I think about the time for the EU open maybe news from there

in any event I'm up 334 baht from yesterday
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Re: Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » August 25, 2010, 5:33 pm

Wonder if this was it?


World stocks fall as global recovery stumbles
World stocks fall as shock drop in US housing data sparks global recovery worries
ap

A man watches the electronic stock indicator of a securities' firm in Tokyo, Japan, Wednesday, Aug. 25, 2010. Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 stock index lost 101.79 points, or 1.1 percent, to 8,893.35. Japanese exporters were lower as the yen hit a 15-year-high against the dollar overnight amid mounting concern over the U.S. economy. (AP Photo/Shizuo Kambayashi)
Joe Mcdonald, AP Business Writer, On Wednesday August 25, 2010, 5:42 am

BEIJING (AP) -- World markets slid Wednesday as a shock drop in U.S. housing sales and slowing growth in Japanese exports added to evidence of a waning global recovery.

Global markets have spent most of August in the red as economic indicators from the U.S., Japan, China and elsewhere suggested global growth will slow in the second half, dimming earnings prospects for manufacturers and other exporters. Oil prices hovered under $72 a barrel after tumbling the day before.

"The dismal July sales data on previously occupied U.S. homes spooked investors around the region. It has a direct psychological impact," said Huang Xiangbin, an analyst for Cinda Securities in Beijing.

Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average dropped 149.75 points, or 1.7 percent, to a 16-month low of 8,845.39 after the yen hit a fresh 15-year-high against the dollar overnight, adding further pain for the country's exporters.

In a bid to curb the yen's rise, Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda told reporters Wednesday that Japan will "respond appropriately when necessary." Japan has not intervened in the foreign exchange market since March 2004. Sentiment in Tokyo also took a hit from news that Japan's export growth slowed for the fifth consecutive month in July.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares lost 9.66 points, or 0.2 percent, to 5,146.29. Germany's DAX fell 10.4, or 0.2 percent, to 5,925.21 and the CAC-40 in France declined 9.13, or 0.3 percent, to 3,481.99. Wall Street, however, was set to rise modestly with Dow futures up 15, or 0.2 percent, at 10, 038.00.

Most other markets were also in the red. China's benchmark Shanghai Composite Index fell 53.73, or 2 percent, to close at 2,596.58. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 23.73, or 0.1 percent, to 20,634.98.

South Korea's Kopsi shed 1.5 percent to 1,734.79 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 1.4 percent to 4,320.10. Benchmarks in India, Taiwan and Indonesia also retreated.

In New York on Tuesday, the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 133.96 points, or 1.3 percent, to 10,040.45. July sales of previously occupied U.S. homes plunged more than expected to the lowest level in 15 years, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 15.49, or 1.5 percent, to 1,051.87, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 35.87, or 1.7 percent, to 2,123.76.

In currencies, the dollar rose to 84.60 yen in Asia after trading as low as 83.61 yen in New York on Tuesday. The euro fell to $1.2674 from $1.2653.

Benchmark crude for October delivery was up 32 cents at $71.95 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1.47 to settle at $71.63 on Tuesday.
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