Udon Thani Forum
Facebook twitter Youtube Rss
Chiang Rai Saddlebags

  • Advertisement
Chiang Rai Saddlebags

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

This section is for general money matters, finance and investing.

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » September 23, 2011, 1:34 pm

You know this is the kind of time you don't hear much from investors. But, the truth is I wish I had more money to buy.

All my stocks are solid companies that pay great dividends. If you were in the market you would have been for warned about what is happening now. I've taken a hard hi, down 30 K, But I still have the dividends that exceed that amount. It's all on paper it becomes a profit or loss when you sale or buy.

Man I wish I could accumulate at these prices, but I'm tapped out Selling three days ago and buying back in would have been a good move. Right now it's not. This when you find out how much risk aversion you can handle, will your plan work.

Well my plan was to buy stocks that did not involve exports. I want the money from the Thai government to hit the streets. Hasn't happened yet when it does I will be fine. In the interm the dividends just keep coming. I hold MCOT Advance, ENOUCH, this are about TV entertainment and an 3-G. As long a Thai's keep those phones in hand I will make money. I also hold EASTW and TTW water usage in Bangkok. I hold one housing stock TRC cheap stock good dividend ratio an a solid conmpany.

I also hold TASCO only asphalt producer in Thailand, they got 294 rural roads to repair, when the flooding stops and they only got one place to get it.

I would like to accumulate at this price level on everyone. I would also like to buy global. For Issan that is where the things needed to repair flooded homes. It ignored in Bangkok for the most part. But, it is real builders supply.

So guys I'm holding the hand I got and I'm going to ride this out.

This is the best buying cycle I have seen since I started. Everyone is scare to death, the funny part none of this is a surprise.

I'm slowly turning into a value investor as opposed to a trader. If trader time comes back I'm all for it lot more fun.

Me all I want to do right ow is BUY BUY BUY alas no tango dinaero, Mai NEE Tung , I ain't got the money :(
User avatar
bumper
udonmap.com
 
Posts: 3849
Joined: July 16, 2008, 1:54 pm
Location: London

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » September 26, 2011, 10:51 am

Well back to my original; thoughts, markets are down dollar is is up. If that hold through the first I will get more then i have been with my normal transfer. It won't relace the current losses. But, it will offset them along with dividends
User avatar
bumper
udonmap.com
 
Posts: 3849
Joined: July 16, 2008, 1:54 pm
Location: London

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » September 26, 2011, 11:39 am

I thought a good time to refresh my memory on recessions:

Name Dates↓ Duration (months)↓ Time since previous recession (months)↓ Peak unemploy­ment↓ GDP decline (peak to trough)↓ Characteristics
Great Depression Aug 1929 –
Mar 1933 4 years
7 months 1 year
9 months 24.9%[31]
(1933) −26.7% Stock markets crashed worldwide. A banking collapse took place in the United States. Extensive new tariffs and other factors contributed to an extremely deep depression. The United States did remain in a depression until World War II. In 1936, unemployment fell to 16.9% but later returned to 19% in 1938 (near 1933 levels).
Recession of 1937 May 1937 –
June 1938 1 year
1 month 4 years
2 months 19.0%[32]
(1938) −18.2% The Recession of 1937 is only considered minor when compared to the Great Depression, but is otherwise among the worst recessions of the 20th century. Three explanations are offered for the recession: that tight fiscal policy from an attempt to balance the budget after the expansion of the New Deal caused recession, that tight monetary policy from the Federal Reserve caused the recession, or that declining profits for businesses led to a reduction in investment.[33]
Recession of 1945 Feb–Oct 1945 8 months 6 years
8 months 5.2%[32]
(1946) −12.7% The decline in government spending at the end of World War II led to an enormous drop in gross domestic product making this technically a recession. This was the result of demobilization and the shift from a wartime to peacetime economy. The post-war years were unusual in a number of ways (unemployment was never high) and this era may be considered a "sui generis end-of-the-war recession".[34]
Recession of 1949 Nov 1948 –
Oct 1949 11 months 3 years
1 month 7.9%
(Oct 1949) −1.7% The 1948 recession was a brief economic downturn; forecasters of the time expected much worse, perhaps influenced by the poor economy in their recent lifetime.[35] The recession began shortly after President Truman's "Fair Deal" economic reforms. The recession also followed a period of monetary tightening.[30]
Recession of 1953 July 1953 –
May 1954 10 months 3 years
9 months 6.1%
(Sep 1954) −2.6% After a post-Korean War inflationary period, more funds were transferred to national security. In 1951, the Federal Reserve reasserted its independence from the U.S. Treasury and in 1952, the Federal Reserve changed monetary policy to be more restrictive because of fears of further inflation or of a bubble forming.[30][36][37]
Recession of 1958 Aug 1957 –
April 1958 8 months 3 years
3 months 7.5%
(July 1958) −3.7% Monetary policy was tightened during the two years preceding 1957, followed by an easing of policy at the end of 1957. The budget balance resulted in a change in budget surplus of 0.8% of GDP in 1957 to a budget deficit of 0.6% of GDP in 1958, and then to 2.6% of GDP in 1959.[30]
Recession of 1960–61 Apr 1960 –
Feb 1961 10 months 2 years 7.1%
(May 1961) −1.6% Another primarily monetary recession occurred after the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 1959. The government switched from deficit (or 2.6% in 1959) to surplus (of 0.1% in 1960). When the economy emerged from this short recession it began the second longest period of growth in NBER history.[30]
Recession of 1969–70 Dec 1969 –
Nov 1970 11 months 8 years
10 months 6.1%
(Dec 1970) −0.6% The relatively mild 1969 recession followed a lengthy expansion. At the end of the expansion inflation was rising, possibly a result of increased deficits. This relatively mild recession coincided with an attempt to start closing the budget deficits of the Vietnam War (fiscal tightening) and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates (monetary tightening).[30]
1973–75 recession Nov 1973 –
Mar 1975 1 year
4 months 3 years 9.0%
(May 1975) −3.2% A quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC coupled with high government spending because of the Vietnam War led to stagflation in the United States.[38] The period was also marked by the 1973 oil crisis and the 1973–1974 stock market crash. The period is remarkable for rising unemployment coinciding with rising inflation.[39]
1980 recession Jan–July 1980 6 months 4 years
10 months 7.8%
(July 1980) −2.2% The NBER considers a short recession to have occurred in 1980, followed by a short period of growth and then a deep recession. Unemployment remained relatively elevated in between recessions. The recession began as the Federal Reserve, under Paul Volcker raised interest rates dramatically to fight the inflation of the 1970s. The early '80s are sometimes referred to as a "double-dip" or "W-shaped" recession.[30][40]
Early 1980s recession July 1981 –
Nov 1982 1 year
4 months 1 year 10.8%
(Nov 1982) −2.7% The Iranian Revolution sharply increased the price of oil around the world in 1979, causing the 1979 energy crisis. This was caused by the new regime in power in Iran, which exported oil at inconsistent intervals and at a lower volume, forcing prices up. Tight monetary policy in the United States to control inflation led to another recession. The changes were made largely because of inflation carried over from the previous decade because of the 1973 oil crisis and the 1979 energy crisis.[41][42]
Early 1990s recession July 1990 –
Mar 1991 8 months 7 years
8 months 7.8%
(June 1992) −1.4% After the lengthy peacetime expansion of the 1980s, inflation began to increase and the Federal Reserve responded by raising interest rates from 1986 to 1989. This weakened but did not stop growth, but some combination of the subsequent 1990 oil price shock, the debt accumulation of the 1980s, and growing consumer pessimism combined with the weakened economy to produce a brief recession.[43][44][45]
Early 2000s recession March 2001–Nov 2001 8 months 10 years 6.3%
(June 2003) −0.3% The 1990s were the longest period of growth in American history. The collapse of the speculative dot-com bubble, a fall in business outlays and investments, and the September 11th attacks,[46] brought the decade of growth to an end. Despite these major shocks, the recession was brief and shallow.[47] Without the September 11th attacks, the economy might have avoided recession altogether.[46]
Late-2000s recession Dec 2007-June 2009 1 year
6 months 6 years
1 month 10.1%
(October 2009)[48]

U6 17.4%
(October 2009)[49] −5.1% The subprime mortgage crisis led to the collapse of the United States housing bubble. Falling housing-related assets contributed to a global financial crisis, even as oil and food prices soared. The crisis led to the failure or collapse of many of the United States' largest financial institutions: Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman Brothers and AIG, as well as a crisis in the automobile industry. The government responded with an unprecedented $700 billion bank bailout and $787 billion fiscal stimulus package. The National Bureau of Economic Research declared the end of this recession over a year after the end date.[50]
[edit]

The thing to keep in mind the average time of a recession is 22 months from the time it's called officially. The least amount of time 8 Months, after that we are talking years. I will not put any money into anything that I''m not willing to hold six years. To me that spells Gold and good dividend stocks
User avatar
bumper
udonmap.com
 
Posts: 3849
Joined: July 16, 2008, 1:54 pm
Location: London

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » October 4, 2011, 10:38 am

Things are just too nuts at the moment I have sold out and will look for a buy in point. I did manage to get things to 600K. Now I will protect it.
User avatar
bumper
udonmap.com
 
Posts: 3849
Joined: July 16, 2008, 1:54 pm
Location: London

Learning to invest in Thai Stocks

Postby bumper » December 21, 2011, 6:08 pm

Well here we go guys final posting:


I made enough to buy a Rai of land and place small house on it along with a Fish Farm.

That folks is good enough for me and I now have a new project.
User avatar
bumper
udonmap.com
 
Posts: 3849
Joined: July 16, 2008, 1:54 pm
Location: London

Previous

  • Similar topics
    Replies
    Views
    Author

Return to Money, Finance & Investing

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

  • Advertisement