Potential of Torrential Rain

http://www.tmd.go.th/en/thailand.php

Being rainy season, everyone expects a good rain from day to day....but the tropical storm that is crossing Vietnam and heading toward Thailand gives us the chance for 'torrential' rain.
Included in the forecast:
"The strong southwest monsoon prevails over the Andaman Sea, Thailand and the Gulf of Thailand. Torrential rain is likely in the windward side with isolated rain. Tropical storm “Nock ten” over the South China Sea is expected to make landfall over upper Vietnam by 30 July heading the upper northeast of Thailand. During 29 July to 3 August, the active southwest monsoon prevails across the Andaman Sea, Southern Thailand and the Gulf. More torrential rain is likely much of especially the upper Northeast with heavy to very heavy rain. Strong wind-wave in the Andaman Sea and the eastern portion of the upper Gulf is expected. "

I have seen a number of tropical storms from Vietnam in the last 12 years and many warnings, but apart from 2001 the warnings never really materialised. Or is Kumpawapi too southerly ?

I know Loei can be bad, but here we never had real very heavy rain for sustained periods, again not after 2001.

Khun Michael Fish at the Thai met office doesn't appear to be getting toooooooo excited.

http://www.tmd.go.th/en/province.php?id=23

This weather map shows the projected path of Nok-Ten going well north of Thailand... hope so. Would jeopardize my golf plans for the first of next week.

Hi,
Don't know what you call torrential rain. About three years ago, before they put in the new drains, for three days i could not take the kids into school, in Udon. When the water started to come in the doors, of the car, i chickened out and turned back. Also about the same year, was driving down to Korat, about 30K south of Udon the rain was so bad you could not drive. Could not see beyond the front of the car. Pulled of the road and had to wait for a hour for it to ease a bit. South of K.K. the A2 (main road) was closed because of flooding, for 7 k, And the road was at least ten feet above the fields on the side of the road. You could see the tops of houses and trees. Felt sorry for the people that lived there.
I have worked overseas most of my life and this was the worst downpour i have seen. Enen gone through a cyclone, The winds were higher, Our anometer at the airport broke after a gust reached 170mph. But the rain was not as bad as i have seen in LOS.

The new storm track now has Nok-ten going directly over the upper Northeast of Thailand.http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html
Looks to be a rainy few days.

Anyone who was here in Udon 11 years ago will remember almost the whole city was under water. But the worst rain i have experienced was 1972 in the P.I. it downpored for 63 days

One of these days they will be correct, and those odds are increasing. By my widget it looks like it will go north/east of us in Udon, per USA weather channel.

CNN shows it going right over Udon, looks like starting today and big downpour tomorrow

http://weather.cnn.com/weather/forecast.jsp?locCode=VTUD&zipCode=562448236735

it did balloon out, but the heavy part still seems to be a little south of Hanoi and from what I see, will miss Udon.

Nothing yesterday, 10.0 mm overnight and a light shower this morning with the skies currently clearing. Might be a "potential for torrential rain" (always is) but not showing any signs here in Ban Dung!

It's arrived - in a big way!

Thanks for the info. Just looked outside and you are right

merchant seaman wrote:Thanks for the info. Just looked outside and you are right

I have recorded 2 1/2 inches in my digital rain gauge here in Nong Wauso since it started last night...

Stoneman

Empty heineken bottle I left outside last night was full this morning. wish it was raining beer. Days like this suck when you have UBC