Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

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Drunk Monkey
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by Drunk Monkey » November 29, 2021, 12:36 pm

It seems Alex Belfield doesnt agree Tammy .. watched his "live" gig last night and this guy should be Mr Farage right hand man when Nigel becomes PM.


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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by parrot » November 29, 2021, 1:38 pm

Just when things seemed to be opening up:
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news ... index.html

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by tamada » November 29, 2021, 5:04 pm

Drunk Monkey wrote:
November 29, 2021, 12:36 pm
It seems Alex Belfield doesnt agree Tammy .. watched his "live" gig last night and this guy should be Mr Farage right hand man when Nigel becomes PM.
That or manager at Scunny.
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Re: Corona Virus / COVID-19 Important Information

Post by sometimewoodworker » November 30, 2021, 8:16 am

stattointhailand wrote:
November 28, 2021, 1:44 pm
Interesting ......... I haven't been a doctor for 30 years, but I could have guessed the new variant would be worse for the elderly. those suffering other major problems and the unvaccinated ......... perhaps I missed my "calling" in life
The only thing that is almost certain in a new variant that becomes the prevalent version is that it’s more infectious.

If it’s going to be more or less deadly than the previous versions is chance.

In fact if it is very much worse it’s likely to die out as it’s victims don’t survive to pass it on.

It’s equally likely (possibly more) to be a milder variant as then it’s victims stay in the general population and spread it round.
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Re: Corona Virus / COVID-19 Important Information

Post by Drunk Monkey » November 30, 2021, 8:20 am

sometimewoodworker wrote:
November 30, 2021, 8:16 am
stattointhailand wrote:
November 28, 2021, 1:44 pm
Interesting ......... I haven't been a doctor for 30 years, but I could have guessed the new variant would be worse for the elderly. those suffering other major problems and the unvaccinated ......... perhaps I missed my "calling" in life
The only thing that is almost certain in a new variant that becomes the prevalent version is that it’s more infectious.

If it’s going to be more or less deadly than the previous versions is chance.

In fact if it is very much worse it’s likely to die out as it’s victims don’t survive to pass it on.

It’s equally likely (possibly more) to be a milder variant as then it’s victims stay in the general population and spread it round.
3 very accurate points STWW ... the latter seems to be happening as the symtoms are very mild some infected didnt know they had it so carried on life as the new newer normal and passed it on .. being called "in community" infections.

Things are looking grim and after 2 years we could so easily be back to square one.

DM
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by noosard » November 30, 2021, 11:30 am

1 inaccurate point SWW the fact if it is worse it will die out,
being that unless it is about a million times worse it wont die out

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by sometimewoodworker » November 30, 2021, 1:49 pm

noosard wrote:
November 30, 2021, 11:30 am
1 inaccurate point SWW the fact if it is worse it will die out,
being that unless it is about a million times worse it wont die out
If you are going to dispute a point, do use the exact quote, what I said was
if it is very much worse it’s likely to die out
I would class a million times worse as “ very much worse” wouldn’t you?

So rather than pointlessly calling my statement as inaccurate you are in fact supporting that point, no?
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by jackspratt » November 30, 2021, 4:49 pm

A sobering read, particularly for those who persist in believing they are better off taking their chances staying un-vaxxed, and happy to risk that their body will cope if they catch COVID.
The life and tragic death of John Eyers – a fitness fanatic who refused the vaccine

He did triathlons, bodybuilding and mountain climbing and became sceptical of the Covid jab. Then, at 42, he contracted the virus
https://www.theguardian.com/society/202 ... id-vaccine

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by tamada » November 30, 2021, 5:27 pm

My recollection is that MERS was the worst of the bunch. The mortality rate was so high, it effectively killed itself (all hosts).

So far, it looks like omicron isn't a MERS. Maybe not even a delta but like the flu, a targeted vaccine is required due to its R>2 factor.
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by noosard » November 30, 2021, 6:01 pm

very much is a like a the length of string
undefined

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by stattointhailand » November 30, 2021, 6:17 pm

The biggest problem is that if Omicron is a "mild" form of the virus, there will be hundreds of people wandering about with "the snivells" infecting everyone else and not realising it's covid. Even if only one in 20 cases gets to the "serious" stage that can still be catastophic for the hospitals. If you don't feel well you stay home and don't infect anyone, but if you feel fine your out and about spreading it

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by jackspratt » November 30, 2021, 6:48 pm

Is "snivells" another one of the English diseases, statto?

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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by sometimewoodworker » November 30, 2021, 6:55 pm

stattointhailand wrote:
November 30, 2021, 6:17 pm
The biggest problem is that if Omicron is a "mild" form of the virus, there will be hundreds of people wandering about with "the snivells" infecting everyone else and not realising it's covid. Even if only one in 20 cases gets to the "serious" stage that can still be catastophic for the hospitals. If you don't feel well you stay home and don't infect anyone, but if you feel fine your out and about spreading it
If it turns out to be a mild form then 1 in 20 getting to be serious cannot be the figure as the current estimate by age varies from 0.4% in under 40s to 9.2% in the over 60s hospitalised & those figures are over estimated as the total number of cases is under reported.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33729203/
So it’s more likely to average 1 in 300 reported cases if it’s a mild form, probably 1 in 500 in the significantly higher number of actual cases.

Now even those numbers are not at all good and there is not enough information yet to know how serious the new variant is & it’s looking as if a tweaked vaccination may be required.
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by Drunk Monkey » December 6, 2021, 1:34 pm

Has Omicron landed ...still to be confirmed but looks like it

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-paci ... 021-12-06/
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by samuel » December 6, 2021, 1:50 pm

Drunk Monkey wrote:
December 6, 2021, 1:34 pm
Has Omicron landed ...still to be confirmed but looks like it
.
most likely yes - it has landed in Thailand.
:-k
.
.
264193871_4509648669113085_7939264557176161217_n.jpg
.
264268796_4509841782427107_6268871400393326508_n.jpg
.
stay safe out there…

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Re: covid cases udon

Post by Drunk Monkey » December 7, 2021, 7:22 pm

Very helpful.kopkei ..many thanks

My prediction of a New Year zero is possible ..alas omicron could spoil it all as could fall out from.the festive period gatherings ... TSM gig included

DM
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by tamada » December 8, 2021, 11:13 am

And now apparently there's the special forces 'stealth' variant of omicron.

Scientists find ‘stealth’ version of Omicron that may be harder to track

"The variant is still detected as coronavirus by all the usual tests, and can be identified as the Omicron variant through genomic testing, but probable cases are not flagged up by routine PCR tests that give quicker results. ..."

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/ ... id-variant
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Re: Miscellaneous COVID-19/Corona Virus Discussion, Questions, etc.

Post by sometimewoodworker » December 8, 2021, 1:07 pm

The good news is that though the Omicron variant is much more transmissible so far it seems to be putting many many fewer people in hospital
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Re: covid cases udon

Post by Khun Paul » December 8, 2021, 4:29 pm

Talking about Vaccinations, anyone any knowledge if any at all about the possibility of Booster shots, we will all require them I feel ion about 2-4 months time depending on when we got our second jab.
Is the Thai government mulling this or will we have to source it ourselves. Ju=dging by the info coming out of the UK maybe a Mix and match would be benificail , Booster for example, AZ or Moderna.


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