Where is the Baht headed?

This section is for general money matters, finance and investing.
Post Reply
Doodoo
udonmap.com
Posts: 6905
Joined: October 15, 2017, 8:47 pm

Where is the Baht headed?

Post by Doodoo » January 12, 2018, 4:02 pm

Less than 32 to the USD and sliding

2 years ago the baht was worth 36.3 to the Dollar now 31.9, 4.4 baht less or the USD has slide 12.2 %

With this the exports of Thailand are more expensive therefore less buying of Thai products by other countries On a $1,000,000 order which isn't at all that big it would cost the buyer an extra $100,000 as compared to 2016
More expensive for Expats to bring in money , if they are to live here

The upside Thais get more for their money and can buy and travel

But in the end where will it all end 31, 30, 29 ...... who knows



minimiglia
udonmap.com
Posts: 449
Joined: January 31, 2017, 10:24 am

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by minimiglia » January 12, 2018, 4:55 pm

The baht is grossly over rated, and why are all imported goods still so expensive ?? shoud have come down by now, or who is profiteering?
Thailand is long overdue for another crash.

User avatar
random thought
udonmap.com
Posts: 24
Joined: February 7, 2014, 9:14 pm
Location: Nadi

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by random thought » January 22, 2018, 11:34 pm

Think it is mostly due to the USD being in the toilet among most currencies. How is the Baht versus the Pound and Euro?

User avatar
747man
udonmap.com
Posts: 15135
Joined: March 25, 2007, 2:22 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by 747man » January 23, 2018, 11:48 am

Pound Up SLIGHTLY Against The Baht Today....44 Baht to 1 Pound.....

colt1911
udonmap.com
Posts: 276
Joined: September 3, 2010, 8:27 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by colt1911 » January 23, 2018, 12:01 pm

Here is some more smoke and mirrors on the subject.

https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/fi ... bahts-rise

RLTrader
udonmap.com
Posts: 1994
Joined: June 3, 2007, 8:49 am

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by RLTrader » January 24, 2018, 7:01 pm

here is a chart of pass years to present
Screen Shot 2018-01-24 at 18.49.48.png
Screen Shot 2018-01-24 at 18.49.48.png (11.59 KiB) Viewed 3400 times
starts Feb 1 2013 to now
so it still has a ways to go

here is a longer chart
Screen Shot 2018-01-24 at 18.57.09.png
might start to worry when it breaks below 29

User avatar
747man
udonmap.com
Posts: 15135
Joined: March 25, 2007, 2:22 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by 747man » January 24, 2018, 7:09 pm

Got 44.20 to the Pound At Superrich in Nong Khai Today....But they deal 15 Satang LOWER Than Superrich in Bangkok....

RLTrader
udonmap.com
Posts: 1994
Joined: June 3, 2007, 8:49 am

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by RLTrader » January 24, 2018, 7:23 pm

by yahoo now
pound is at 44.60
euro is at 39.03
dollar is at 31.64
aus at 25.54

blade450x
udonmap.com
Posts: 68
Joined: July 8, 2014, 9:58 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by blade450x » January 25, 2018, 12:54 pm

Baht against the US Dollar is going down fast at the moment but most things are against the US dollar.
It broke through the 2014 July and August support after that dropped a lot Lowest since November 2013 at the moment

The Pound is doing OK though at the moment.

User avatar
felixcat
udonmap.com
Posts: 611
Joined: October 21, 2016, 12:21 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by felixcat » January 25, 2018, 1:47 pm

This is the Raid on paper fiat..get your paper into something , rather than nothing.
Hint: Banks print "Nothing" and trade it for 'something".
A No-Brainer

thighlander
udonmap.com
Posts: 182
Joined: June 6, 2012, 1:26 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by thighlander » March 8, 2018, 1:01 am

good article in the Post, today. Basically, The Indonesian Rupiah is starting to slide, and it is often considered a bellweather for SEA currencies. A possible canary in the coal mine.

thighlander
udonmap.com
Posts: 182
Joined: June 6, 2012, 1:26 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by thighlander » April 21, 2018, 3:43 pm

decent week for the USD...maybe the freight train is changing course. May is the worst month for the Baht against the Dollar. 2009 and 2017 were the only years the Baht strengthened, during May.

choi choi
udonmap.com
Posts: 758
Joined: March 5, 2018, 10:35 pm
Contact:

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by choi choi » April 21, 2018, 7:07 pm

Dunno about the $. But I watch the Baht-Pound everyday.
Seems strange. I notice the pound gains strength mid month.
But come end of month, loses again
The pound was 43.95 (buying) on 12th April.
Soon as the songarn was over, and banks open dropped like a stone.
Is there a system where the banks here can manipulate the exchange rate?
All the farangs withdrawing their pensions etc at end of month, must be a good earner!

thighlander
udonmap.com
Posts: 182
Joined: June 6, 2012, 1:26 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by thighlander » April 21, 2018, 9:13 pm

they have a little room to manipulate, as they likely have a heads up of what is coming in immediately after a holiday. They can also open the rate at 8:30, then change it at 8:45, after all the money was transferred at the opening rate. I have certainly seen far worse shenanigans. The Post mentioned that many Thai companies pay dividends in April and May to foreign stockholders, coupled with a big drop in tourism after Songkran...usually causes weakness. I say it is overvalued (the THB vs. the USD)....It is truly a double edged sword, and strong currency can just as likely mean turmoil as it can economic boom. The Dollar strengthened considerably vs. the THB in 2009 and the US economy was swirling down the toilet.

pal52
udonmap.com
Posts: 1186
Joined: September 18, 2013, 10:54 am

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by pal52 » April 22, 2018, 7:23 am

On the 17th of this month the Pound was 44.82 baht.
On the 20th it fell to 43.88 yet all the Experts were saying the pound is getting stronger.

User avatar
Lone Star
udonmap.com
Posts: 5698
Joined: June 26, 2014, 11:52 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by Lone Star » April 22, 2018, 8:15 am

The baht is headed wherever the powers want it to go, which is much like any currency anywhere. It's not something I can control, and it is pretty much unpredictable, so I don't try.
AMERICA: One of the Greatest Stories Ever Told.

thighlander
udonmap.com
Posts: 182
Joined: June 6, 2012, 1:26 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by thighlander » April 23, 2018, 8:29 pm

Tough game to play, in fact, notice how many fewer ads there are for FOREX traders all over the place? The SEC determined 3 out of four were losing money....it has been a boiler room favorite for a while, but word is getting out. Still, cost averaging is the way to go. A large condo purchase would require a little luck and timing. I did notice BKK Bank changed their rates four times today, all in favor of the Dollar...the next month will be interesting on this matter.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/f ... x-scam.asp

Twixies
udonmap.com
Posts: 105
Joined: April 29, 2014, 9:54 pm
Location: Udon thani

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by Twixies » May 8, 2018, 9:18 pm

I dont know if jimboPSM follow this tread anymore, but today there is a very good article about the manipulation of the currency.

What i dont understand is why the Bank of Thailand is loosing money on the manipulation and i hope someone can explain it to me :)
The Bank of Thailand has attempted to allay concerns about its accumulated losses by clarifying that they stem from its financial operations to mitigate baht appreciation through foreign currency purchases.
https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/fi ... mitigation

thighlander
udonmap.com
Posts: 182
Joined: June 6, 2012, 1:26 pm

Re: Where is the Baht headed?

Post by thighlander » May 9, 2018, 3:56 pm

it was pretty obvious the baht overshot on the way up. When you look at the cost of things that usually are closely priced in the US and Thailand, and suddenly they are ,10% more here...it is too strong. NO print cartridges Heineken Beer, Logitech computer peripherals..come to mind. That is the nature of currency from developing nations. So the try to slow its strengthening by holding the foreign currency, but they get creamer in the process. However, the Dollar has gained three percent in 22 days...so they just got back a lot of their losses. OTOH, when it was 36...things seemed just a bit too cheap...and the smart folks load up.

Post Reply

Return to “Money, Finance & Investing”