Trump and the Stock Markets

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 14, 2019, 5:40 am

S&P 500 rises for a third day in a row, hits new high for 2019

Source: CNBC
“The move in tech, it almost feels like they’re sniffing out something is coming” on the U.S.-China trade front, said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial. “The moves in the semis and Apple are suggesting a deal may be in the coming weeks; perhaps not at the end of March, but sometime in the near future.”
Equities also got a boost Wednesday after the Commerce Department said nondefense durable goods orders posted their largest increase in six months in January, rising 0.8 percent. Overall durable goods orders also rose 0.4 percent while economists polled by Refinitiv expected a decline of 0.5 percent.

Meanwhile, U.S. construction spending posted its biggest increase in nine months, rising 1.3 percent in January. The leap was driven by a surge in public-project investments.
Looks like STEADY WINNING.


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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 14, 2019, 2:58 pm

.

US Department of Labor announces 3.5% Wage Growth

March 12, 2019

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released data that shows annual inflation at 1.5% and wage growth at 3.5% -- a big advantage for workers in the US.
The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.1 percent over the last 12 months, a slightly smaller figure than the 2.2-percent increase for the period ending January. The food index rose 2.0 percent over the past year, its largest 12-month increase since the period ending April 2015. In contrast, the energy index declined 5.0 percent over the last 12 months.
Image

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

Lower fuel costs are a boon to the working class (ask France).

Wage growth of 3.5% with inflation at 1.5% means higher actual income, more money in the pockets of workers, and increased purchasing or saving power.

It has been two years since the Trump Tariff Doctrine went into effect. The Cheerleaders for Failure were hoping for economic disaster and a crushing blow upon US consumers. Like most everything else that is bad and that they cheer, they have been deada55 wrong.

Brigadiers will not be happy.

OPTIMISM. MARKET DRIVER. STEADY WINNING.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 16, 2019, 3:42 pm

.

Consumer Sentiment on the Rise

Source: University of Michigan

Consumer sentiment -- measuring optimism and pessimism of consumers -- is a main market driver of the US economy.
The early March gain in sentiment was entirely due to households with incomes in the bottom two-thirds of the distribution, whose sentiment rose to 97.4 from 90.0 in February.


Households with lower incomes expressed "much more positive assessments" than income earners in the top third of the US socioeconomic group. However, "all income groups voiced more positive prospects for growth in the overall economy during the year ahead."
The data indicate that real consumption will grow by 2.6% in 2019 and that the expansion will set a new record length by mid year.
STILL STEADY WINNING.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 17, 2019, 5:14 am

.

Dow rises more than 100 points, S&P 500 posts best weekly gain since November

Source: CNBC
Stocks posted strong weekly gains, led by tech shares, as investors cheered renewed optimism on the U.S.-China trade front on Friday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 138.93 points to 25,848.87 as Boeing shares turned around to close 1.5 percent higher. Boeing’s turnaround was sparked by a report saying the company planned to roll out a software upgrade for its 737 Max aircraft. The stock had been under pressure all week after an Ethiopian Airlines flight using a 737 Max plane crashed on Sunday, which prompted several countries to ground flights involving the plane.

Gains in the tech and consumer discretionary sectors pushed the S&P 500 up 0.5 percent to 2,822.48. Tech shares also bolstered the Nasdaq Composite, which climbed 0.8 percent to 7,688.53.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both rose at least 2.9 percent, though the laggard Dow gained only 1.7 percent amid Boeing’s troubles. The S&P 500 also posted its biggest one-week gain since November.

Stocks have been on a tear this year, with the three major indexes rising more than 10 percent each in 2019.
Optimism and Pessimism always push in either direction.
“Barring any macroeconomic news, any North Korea-related news, any negative news coming out of the China trade deal, I think the momentum is still just holding,” Katz said. “At the same time, [the market] is getting up there.”

Chinese Vice Premier Liu He spoke via telephone with U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, Xinhua news agency reported Friday. The report, according to The South China Morning Post, said: “The two sides have further made concrete progress on the text of the trade agreement between the two sides.”

The news comes after CNBC reported Thursday that Chinese negotiators suggest combining a state visit to the U.S. with the signing of a trade deal. Beijing wants a deal to be fully ironed out before President Xi Jinping meets with U.S. President Donald Trump.

“US-China trade negotiations will likely reach a temporary deal, transforming future negotiations into a framework to monitor China’s compliance with trade and intellectual property policies,” Alberto Gallo, head of macro strategies at Algebris Investments, wrote in a note. He added, however, that “binary events” like this “may not translate into tail risks.”
More hinges on the China-US trade deal than anything with North Korea, but China controls that too.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 17, 2019, 2:32 pm

Expert: 'We are worse off as a world' amid Trump's trade war
Adriana Belmonte 15 hours ago

In the end all will pay more for goods

"When we raise a tariff in general on steel, it means all the industries that use steel to make things, like cars and refrigerators, will see their cost go up, and they will pass those costs on to consumers,” he said. “So, consumers will end up paying a higher price for cars and refrigerators.”

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 17, 2019, 6:18 pm

Doodoo wrote:
March 17, 2019, 2:32 pm
Expert: 'We are worse off as a world' amid Trump's trade war
Adriana Belmonte 15 hours ago

In the end all will pay more for goods

"When we raise a tariff in general on steel, it means all the industries that use steel to make things, like cars and refrigerators, will see their cost go up, and they will pass those costs on to consumers,” he said. “So, consumers will end up paying a higher price for cars and refrigerators.”
And the above post represents your highest of standards of presentation. You can't even follow your own lame advice or match your own made-up standards.

Doodoo wrote:
March 17, 2019, 3:16 pm
. . .
it my prerogative to point out omissions (Fake News) of your articles and boy there are a lot of them Its like reading The Star, The Enquirer etc
Even a child could see the phony outrage and hypocrisy.

This does't help your batting average. You're still dead a55 wrong 9 times out of 10. Doodoo better.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 17, 2019, 7:34 pm

"And the above post represents your highest of standards of presentation. You can't even follow your own lame advice or match your own made-up standards." and it is in RED this time and to pass on I don't have any standards

HUH???????????????????????

I just copied and posted an article regarding the affects of Tariffs and you come out with this, which I don't understand???? Its not my quote it is from an article on YAHOO oh GREAT ONE

As for my batting average which LS keeps quoting. For you people not in North America or South America and come to think of it Japan/Korea (something the Yanks left behind) this is the manner how baseball keeps track of how a person is progressing at bat, hitting the ball 1.000 is great .100 is awful

""phony outrage and hypocrisy" as for this once again and maybe you will understand better this time "I DO NOT CARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 18, 2019, 6:38 pm

.

MAGAnomics Benefits Mostly Middle-Class

Source: CNBC

Strong economic driver that translates to optimism.
The recent jump in paychecks has come with an unusual characteristic, as workers at the lower end of the pay scale are getting the greater benefit.

Average hourly earnings rose 3.4 percent in February from the same period a year ago, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report last week. That’s the biggest gain since April 2009 and seventh month in a row that compensation has been 3 percent or better.

What has set this rise apart is that it’s the first time during an economic recovery that began in mid-2009 that the bottom half of earners are benefiting more than the top half — in fact, about twice as much, according to calculations by Goldman Sachs. The trend began in 2018 and has continued into this year, and could be signaling a stronger economy than many experts think.
When the truth roars like a Lion, even MAGAnomics deniers have to eventually report it.

CNBC is different than most biased media and their parent, NBC. CNBC has a responsibility to viewers who look to them for financial advice. CNBC is mostly, very reliable.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 18, 2019, 8:55 pm

Business
U.S. heavy equipment makers feeling pain from tariffs, disputes:

U.S. makers of bulldozers and other heavy equipment are raising prices, losing sales and in some cases beginning to trim workers in response to the Trump administration's protracted trade disputes with various countries, according to a new report.

Increased TARRIFS = INCREASED COSTS Here we go for the ride

Alarmist Whatever you want to call me I DONT CARE BUT BEWARE

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 19, 2019, 3:19 pm

.

Credit Suisse raises S&P 500 forecast, sees 20% gain for 2019

Source: CNBC
Underneath the stock market’s epic rebound has been a “more favorable” trend that Credit Suisse says will drive the market higher.

The bank dialed up its year-end forecast for the S&P 500 to 3,025 from 2,925 previously. The new outlook calls for a gain of more than 20 percent for full-year 2019 or more than 7 percent from current levels after the big rally to start the year.
Cheerleaders for Failure not happy. Again.
“More specifically, less hawkish comments from the Fed, declining inflation and recession fears, and the potential for a resolution to China trade issues are the primary forces driving volatility and spreads lower, and stocks higher,” he added.

The market has staged a strong comeback with the S&P 500 up 20 percent from its Christmas Eve low when it dipped into a bear market on an intraday basis. Many have credited the massive sell-off to fears of a too-aggressive Federal Reserve and a possible recession. Now with the central bank signaling a “patient” approach to tightening and better-than-expected economic data, the rally may have more room to run.
20190319-151117.jpg

STILL STEADY DAMN WINNING.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 20, 2019, 9:35 am

Business
FedEx cuts profit forecast again on economy, Express woes
Reuters 2 hours 36 minutes ago

Twice in 3 months

An indicator of a slide world wide

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 20, 2019, 9:44 am

Car sales 2019 a prime indicator regarding the economy

Said Jeremy Acevedo, Edmunds’ manager of industry analysis, “Although the drop-off in sales is rather subtle year over year, February is shaping up to be a good barometer of the gradual sales decline we expect through 2019.” He added, “We’re really starting to see a slump in retail demand that stems from the growing cost of new car purchases.”

What is behind the slip then? “Record-high interest rates and rising average transaction prices are what’s really putting pressure on the market and keeping car shoppers at bay so far in 2019,” said Acevedo. Going forward, these are the factors that will make the greatest difference."

Tarrifs causing increased car production costs

Showing signs

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 20, 2019, 2:25 pm

.

Trump Immigration Policy Raising Wages

Source: NY Times

Optimism.

The crackdown on illegal aliens has created a labor demand and increased wages -- even for farm hands.
Without a legal alternative to informal migrant labor, the competition between dairy farms to retain migrant workers is so fierce that farm owners, once notorious for underpaying and mistreating workers, are now improving working conditions and wages to entice employees to stay on their farms, workers said.

Victor Cortez is an immigrant who has worked on a dairy farm in western New York for 18 years. A few years ago, farm owners “wouldn’t let us leave the farm,” he said, adding, “They wouldn’t pay us as much as they promised they would.”

“But the good thing about it now,” he said, “is that we get paid more and this farmer is good to me.”
The US labor market has been flooded with illegals for decades, which has lowered wages for Americans and contributed to a stagnant economy. Trump's policy is having a great impact nationwide in all sectors of blue collar and middle class jobs.

AMERICA FIRST. HIRE AMERICAN.

STILL STEADY DAMN WINNING.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 20, 2019, 4:36 pm

"The US labor market has been flooded with illegals for decades, which has lowered wages for Americans and contributed to a stagnant economy. Trump's policy is having a great impact nationwide in all sectors of blue collar and middle class jobs."

AMERICA FIRST. HIRE AMERICAN.

The only way for wages to be supressed is if the EMPLOYERS are hiring Illegals on a consistatn basis. How could this be in a FREE S0CIETY in a society that Makes America GREAT AGAIN

If they stop hiring Illegals along with Tariffs, increasing wages. prices for the American Consumer will surely increase .
Mathematics all this will increase inflation making the consumer one unhappy hombres

Get ready for the slide

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 21, 2019, 7:55 am

.

Ford To Invest $900 Million for New Electric Vehicle Plant In Michigan

Source: CNBC

GM with inferior product is shutting down plants and laying off workers. They haven't learned any lessons since their bailout and costing taxpayers $11 BILLION in losses from that GWB/Obama boondoggle.

Ford, on the other hand, is laying off thousands of workers in Germany and investing in AMERICA.

AMERICA FIRST. HIRE AMERICAN.

STEADY WINNING.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 21, 2019, 8:28 am

The Automotive Industry Financing Program — which was created under the Troubled Asset Relief Program — provided $79.69 billion to GM, GMAC and Chrysler. So far, they have paid back a little more than half of the money, or about $40 billion, according to Treasury’s daily report for Sept. 16 on TARP funds.
Ford did not receive any money under AIFP, but that doesn’t mean it didn’t get any federal assistance.
In a Jan. 30, 2009, report on the bailout program, the Congressional Research Service noted that Ford “is counting on $5 billion from the DOE loan program to support a $14 billion plan to reorient its lineup toward more fuel-efficient vehicles.” On June 23, 2009, the Department of Energy announced it would provide $5.9 billion to Ford “to transform factories across Illinois, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, and Ohio to produce 13 more fuel efficient models.”
In a business plan submitted to Congress in December 2008, Ford touted its $14 billion plan for fuel-efficient cars as a key part of its effort to turn the company around — noting that a big piece of the funding was coming from the DOE. The company’s business plan also urged Congress to pass legislation to provide “incentives for consumers to trade in older vehicles and move to more fuel-efficient vehicles.” About six months later — on June 24, 2009 — President Obama signed the Consumer Assistance to Recycle and Save Act that became known as the cash-for-clunkers program. A Department of Transportation report (table 10) said more than 90,000 Fords were purchased under the cash-for-clunkers program — second only to Toyota — as of December 2009.


So Ford did receive aid in 2009 CASH FOR CLUNKERS (FORD) Great name for a program

Have a look at the outstanding issues with FORD (Fix or Repair Daily)
19 Glaring Problems With Ford Pickups Everyone Just Ignores
by Natasha Brown – on Sep 14, 2018 in Car Culture

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 21, 2019, 8:49 am

Doodoo wrote:
March 21, 2019, 8:28 am
The Automotive Industry Financing Program — which was created under the Troubled Asset Relief Program — provided $79.69 billion to GM, GMAC and Chrysler. So far, they have paid back a little more than half of the money, or about $40 billion, according to Treasury’s daily report for Sept. 16 on TARP funds.
Ford did not receive any money under AIFP, but that doesn’t mean it didn’t get any federal assistance.
In a Jan. 30, 2009, report on the bailout program, the Congressional Research Service noted that Ford “is counting on $5 billion from the DOE loan program to support a $14 billion plan to reorient its lineup toward more fuel-efficient vehicles.” On June 23, 2009, the Department of Energy announced it would provide $5.9 billion to Ford “to transform factories across Illinois, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, and Ohio to produce 13 more fuel efficient models.”
In a business plan submitted to Congress in December 2008, Ford touted its $14 billion plan for fuel-efficient cars as a key part of its effort to turn the company around — noting that a big piece of the funding was coming from the DOE. The company’s business plan also urged Congress to pass legislation to provide “incentives for consumers to trade in older vehicles and move to more fuel-efficient vehicles.” About six months later — on June 24, 2009 — President Obama signed the Consumer Assistance to Recycle and Save Act that became known as the cash-for-clunkers program. A Department of Transportation report (table 10) said more than 90,000 Fords were purchased under the cash-for-clunkers program — second only to Toyota — as of December 2009.


So Ford did receive aid in 2009 CASH FOR CLUNKERS (FORD) Great name for a program

Have a look at the outstanding issues with FORD (Fix or Repair Daily)
19 Glaring Problems With Ford Pickups Everyone Just Ignores
by Natasha Brown – on Sep 14, 2018 in Car Culture
You love conflating unrelated issues. And yes, I know YOU DON'T CARE.

It's important to readers that factual information is provided to fill in the gaps in your purposeful misrepresentation of events to necessarily cast them all as negative.

The Department of Energy program was a LOAN. Ford was not begging for a bailout (GM and Chrysler). Loans and bailouts are quite different. The DoE and other agencies offer loans and grants to the private sector in order to help them comply with new congressional statutes and fuel efficiency standards.

Cash for Clunkers was a failed Obama program that rewarded consumers in auto purchases of a new auto of THE CONSUMER'S CHOICE. Those Fords that were purchased were chosen by consumers, not funneled to Ford by the government.

Despite any negatives, which accompany many different makes and models of automobiles all over the world, Ford is still the #1 US auto maker in the United States.

It should also be pointed out that in the bailout of banks by GWB/Obama globalists, even healthy banks were forced to take bailout money by Obama. You see, healthy banks would have an unfair advantage over unhealthy ones, so it was important to hide that fact from consumers. Yeah, let's hide it. Once again, the Obama War on Success and Achievement.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Udon Map » March 21, 2019, 10:57 am

Lone Star wrote:
March 21, 2019, 8:49 am
The Department of Energy program was a LOAN.
And that loan gave rise to one of Lee Iacocca's most famous statements when he was handing over the check repaying Chrysler's TARP loan:
At Chrysler, we borrow money the old fashioned way. We pay it back."

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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Lone Star » March 21, 2019, 1:38 pm

Udon Map wrote:
March 21, 2019, 10:57 am
. . .

Lee Iacocca

. . .
Great man. Much admired.

Gone from Chrysler in 1992. Sixteen years before the bailout.
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Re: Trump and the Stock Markets

Post by Doodoo » March 21, 2019, 3:04 pm

More companies worried (Alarmists they are ) about economies

"Finance
A growing list of companies from FedEx to BMW are warning about the world economy
Kate Rooney,CNBC 16 hours ago"

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